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Virginia appears to be in play in the presidential election, with Vice President Kamala Harris holding a slight lead over former President Donald Trump in the commonwealth, according to a poll released Tuesday morning.
The Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College shows Harris ahead of Trump by three percentage points (47%-44%) in a head-to-head matchup. When other candidates were included, Harris still leads by three points (45%-42%). When factoring in the poll’s 4.5% margin of error, Harris and Trump are in a statistical dead heat.
The poll surveyed 691 likely voters in the commonwealth last week between Monday and Friday.
The poll is the first major survey on Virginia voters since President Joe Biden dropped out of the race last month. Earlier polling data showed Biden and Trump tied, with some showing the former president leading in the commonwealth.
Former President Donald Trump has lost his lead in two key battleground states, according to a new poll.
When asked: "How enthusiastic are you about voting in November?," 86.3 percent of Democrats said that they were enthusiastic, while 77 percent of Republicans said the same.
A further 11.8 percent of Democrats and 19.6 percent of Republicans said they were planning on voting but were not enthusiastic about the prospect.
The findings match a resurgence in energy for the Democratic campaign after Vice President Kamala Harris became the presumptive nominee over President Joe Biden, with data from other key swing states indicating that the switch to a more youthful candidate has energized Democratic voters.
That confidence is translating into big spending plans, as the House Democrats’ campaign arm said Monday it aims to pour $27 million into an advertising blitz, with nearly half of that going to New York and California races. Democrats see opportunities to flip GOP seats in other states, as well, including in Arizona and Pennsylvania districts.
Here's C.I.'s "Iraq snapshot:"
The Constitution says the President's job is to "take care that the laws be faithfully executed." Those are the words our founders used: "Take care." Just look at the candidates. Kamala cares about kids, families, and America. Donald only cares about himself. On her first day in court, Kamala said five words that guide her still: "Kamala Harris, for the people." That's something Donald Trump will never understand.
Three women — Amanda Zurawski, Kaitlyn Joshua and Hadley Duvall — spoke about their experiences with abortion, miscarriage and pregnancy on the opening night of Democratic National Convention.
All three speakers have emerged as key surrogates for the Democratic Party, campaigning in support of Vice President Kamala Harris. Zurawski’s husband Josh, who has also campaigned for Harris, spoke alongside her.
Zurawski, who rose to prominence after suing the state of Texas over its abortion ban, was a guest at President Joe Biden’s February 2023 State of the Union address; she also shared her experience in an April ad on behalf of what was then the campaign to re-elect Biden. Joshua, of Louisiana, has been a regular presence at Harris campaign events and appeared in a June ad for the Democratic presidential campaign. Duvall, a Kentucky resident, appeared in a campaign spot for Gov. Andy Beshear last year, and in a July ad backing Biden.
“A second Trump term would rip away even more of our rights: passing a national abortion ban, letting states monitor pregnancies and prosecute doctors, restricting birth control and fertility treatments,” Zurawski said on Monday night. “We cannot let that happen. We need to vote as if lives depend on it — because they do.”
Abortion is a core component of Harris’ election pitch. Other expected speakers this week — including former Planned Parenthood leader Cecile Richards, current leader Alexis McGill Johnson, and Mini Timmaraju of the advocacy group Reproductive Freedom for All — are also likely to use their time to draw a contrast between Democrats, who largely support abortion rights, and Republicans, who generally back bans and restrictions on the procedure.
Abortion has not historically received this much attention at the party’s national gathering. But it reflects the fact that this year the party views abortion — an issue on which they generally poll better with voters than do Republicans — as one that could help them retain the White House, and potentially even win control of Congress.
On Monday, amid speeches from celebrities and some of the biggest names in Democratic politics, four everyday Americans took the stage to speak about how the 2022 overturning of Roe v. Wade — and the slew of state-level abortion restrictions implemented in its aftermath — have impacted their lives.
Perhaps the most gut-wrenching testimony of the night came from Hadley Duvall, a young woman from Kentucky who at age 12 became pregnant and miscarried after being sexually assaulted by her stepfather. Duvall, now 21, shared her story for the first time on Facebook in 2022 following the demise of Roe.
“At age 12 I took my first pregnancy test, and it was positive,” Duvall told the DNC audience. “That was the first time I was ever told ‘you have options.’ I can’t imagine not having a choice but today, that’s the reality for many women and girls across the country because of Trump’s abortion bans.”
“He calls it a beautiful thing,” Duvall said of Trump’s bragging of his role in overturning Roe. “What is so beautiful about a child having to carry her parent’s child?”
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