Tuesday, August 6, 2024

A winning ticket



Vice President Kamala Harris, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, appears to be leading former president Donald Trump by four points in a new poll.
The poll came from Morning Consult, which has previously shown Trump leading for a 15 consecutive weeks. The new data signals quite the surge of momentum for Harris, whose campaign made more than $81 million in donations in its first 24 hours. Kamala is leading in every category but one, most Republicans are expected to cast their vote for Trump. Overall, 48% of voters say they prefer Harris while 44% say the same for Trump.
As for others who were surveyed about who they will vote for in November, Harris pulled ahead against the former president in every category of voter. The majority of those who voted for US President Joe Biden in 2020 seemed to have quickly flocked over to Harris' side as a whopping 89% of them said they would vote blue.

 


Donald Trump is tied with Kamala Harris in the battleground state of Pennsylvania, according to a new poll sponsored by the Republican Early Vote Action PAC.
The survey, conducted by Fabrizio, Lee & Associates between July 29 and August 1, reveals that 45 percent of respondents would vote for Harris in a multicandidate election, along with 45 percent for Trump.
Four percent of respondents said they would back Robert F. Kennedy Jr.; 2 percent would support other candidates such as Jill Stein from the Green Party; and 5 percent are undecided.

The poll also reveals that Trump and Harris are tied in a head-to-head matchup, with both receiving 48 percent of the vote, while four percent are undecided.


It's not just one state.  She's breathing life into one state after another.  Bill Mahoney notes:

After months of tightening presidential polling numbers in New York, Vice President Kamala Harris has given Democrats a bit of breathing room in the country’s second-largest blue stronghold.

Harris leads former President Donald Trump 53-39 among likely voters, according to a Siena College Research Institute poll released Tuesday morning.
That 14-point lead is still relatively narrow — each of the past four Democratic presidential nominees have enjoyed advantages of 18 to 30 points in summertime Siena surveys.

But it marks an improvement over President Joe Biden, who had slimmer leads of 8 to 10 points in most of the monthly Siena polls conducted since last fall. The former presumptive nominee’s standing stoked down-ballot Democrats’ concerns over low turnout and even raised the possibility of New York becoming a presidential battleground.
Trump’s numbers in New York are unchanged. He was viewed favorably by either 37 or 39 percent of the electorate in every Siena poll from January through June, including 39 percent now.

Harris has comparably more appeal: 53 percent of the electorate views her positively, compared to 43 percent who have a negative opinion of her. That marks an improvement from Biden’s 42-53 favorability rating in June.


Now wonder Grumpy Trumpy and Butt Boi are running scared!  Nandika Chatterjee (Salon) notes:

Vice President Kamala Harris has taken a 3 point lead over Donald Trump in the national race for the White House, according to a pair of surveys released this week.

On Monday, Survey USA and UMass Amherst both released surveys showing the Democratic candidate winning over more likely voters than the former president, a stark turnaround from before she entered the race last month. According to Survey USA, Harris earns the support of 48% of likely voters while Trump earns the backing of 45%. According to Umass Amherst, the vice president has a 46% to 43 % lead over the GOP candidate; in January, the same pollster found Trump leading  President Joe Biden by 43% to 39%. 



And if you missed it, Kamala selected Governor Tim Walz as her running mate.  Polls?   James Bickerton (Newsweek) reports:


A recent poll, conducted by KSTP-TV/SurveyUSA between May 4-8, revealed that 54 percent of 681 registered voters in Minnesota approved of Walz's performance as governor, while 41 percent disapproved and five percent were unsure.

In contrast, a recent nationwide poll, conducted by Morning Consult between August 2-4, revealed that Donald Trump has a net approval rating of -6. The poll found that 46 percent have a favorable view of the former president, compared with 52 percent who have an unfavorable opinion.


Looks like a winning ticket.  :D


Here's C.I.'s "Iraq snapshot:"


Tuesday, August 6, 2024.  Convicted Felon Donald Trump is now accused of accepting a ten-million-dollar bribe from the government of Egypt, five US troops are injured in Iraq, Kamala Harris is set to name her running mate today, and much more.


Last week, two 23-year-old Americans died in Iraq.  Spc Travis Jordan Pameni and Spc Owen James Elliott's deaths are under investigation by the DoD.   This morning,  Idrees Ali and Phil Stewart (AFR) report, "At least five US personnel were injured in an attack against a military base in Iraq on Monday, US officials told Reuters, as the Middle East braced for a possible new wave of attacks by Iran and its allies following last week’s killing of senior members of militant groups Hamas and Hezbollah."  Karwan Faidhi Dri (RUDAW) adds, "A local official, speaking on the condition of anonymity, told Rudaw that the rockets were launched from the industrial subdistrict of al-Haqlaniyah in Haditha district. The source added that the target appeared to be Iraq’s Ain al-Asad airbase, but the initial rockets failed to hit the site."  US President Joe Biden Tweeted the following:



For those who don't click on the link to expand the Tweet, here it is in full:


Earlier, and I were briefed in the Situation Room on developments in the Middle East. We received updates on threats posed by Iran and its proxies, diplomatic efforts to de-escalate regional tensions, and preparations to support Israel should it be attacked again. We also discussed the steps we are taking to defend our forces and respond to any attack against our personnel in a manner and place of our choosing.



In other White House and Middle East news, let's drop back to yesterday's DEMOCRACY NOW!



AMY GOODMAN: This is Democracy Now!, democracynow.org, The War and Peace Report. I’m Amy Goodman, as we turn now to a major investigation by The Washington Post into Donald Trump’s relationship with the Egyptian government, which reportedly tried to funnel $10 million in cash to Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign. The cash weighed about 200 pounds when it was withdrawn from a state-run bank in Cairo at the request of an organization linked to the Egyptian intelligence service, just five days before Trump took office as president in 2017. The Post reports Trump earlier gave the same amount to his own campaign, and investigators suspected Trump expected to be repaid by Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi. But questions about the transaction went unanswered by the Justice Department under Trump’s Attorney General Bill Barr, who closed the case, citing, quote, “a lack of sufficient evidence” — a decision one DOJ official called “jaw-dropping.”

For more, we’re joined in Washington, D.C., by one of the reporters who broke this story. Carol Leonnig is the national investigative reporter for The Washington Post who focuses on White House and government accountability. Her new piece is headlined “$10M cash withdrawal drove secret probe into whether Trump took money from Egypt.”

Carol, thanks so much for being with us. Why don’t you start off with how you began this story in The Washington Post?

CAROL LEONNIG: My colleague Aaron Davis and I began this work while we were doing research for a book about the Justice Department under Donald Trump and under President Biden. In that research, we discovered far more details than we expected about an incredibly secretive probe. This probe began in early 2017 with what investigators at the Department of Justice called “jaw-dropping intelligence.”

The CIA alerted the Department of Justice days after Donald Trump was elected that they had what they considered pretty reliable information from an informant indicating that the president of Egypt planned or wanted to or ordered $10 million injected into Donald Trump’s — then-candidate Donald Trump’s campaign to help him get reelected. That would be illegal, and hiding that money would be money laundering. And if Donald Trump had taken that money, it would potentially be bribery and compromise of a sitting president by a foreign government.

DOJ investigators saw this as extremely disturbing and worrisome and eventually alerted top officials at the department who decided that Robert Mueller should take on the investigation. He had just newly been appointed in May of 2017 and was looking into foreign interference by Russia in the 2016 election, and now they wanted him to also look at this secret matter. Nothing about this was ever known to the public at the time.

What happened next, in the next phase, was that Mueller’s team, almost as they are shutting down their office in 2019, finally win a lengthy appeals court battle, a secret one, that closed down the federal courthouse in D.C. to sort of conceal the nature of the debate inside the hearing room. They obtain a record that seems to corroborate the intelligence. It shows that there was a $10 million cash withdrawal, very mysterious, people walking out of a bank branch near the Cairo airport with a large portion of all the U.S. bills then in the entire Egyptian banking system in duffel bags. No one signs for it. It comes out of a spy-linked account. And the reason this was so important, Amy, was, obviously, $10 million in cash walking out of a bank is a big deal, but it came out of the account linked to Egypt’s spy agency, essentially Egypt’s CIA. And that is what the original intelligence suggested, that el-Sisi, the president of Egypt, wanted to use his spy agency to get the money to Trump.

So, these things were lining up, but Mueller is leaving the building. He is now closing shop in early 2019 and hands off this investigation to the U.S. Attorney’s Office in D.C. The boss of this investigation ultimately is the new attorney general, Bill Barr. It’s run by the U.S. Attorney Jessie Liu, who tells her investigators, “This is pretty impressive stuff,” but she wants to brief Barr on the matter. An investigation of a sitting president has to be briefed to the attorney general. But she returns from meeting with him and reviewing the evidence at the CIA with a different posture. Investigators feel that she’s done a 180. She was supportive of them continuing this investigation, and now she is telling them she doesn’t want to approve their subpoena for Trump’s bank records. These records were key, in their view, to determine: Did the money from Cairo that was mysteriously withdrawn five days before Donald Trump was elected, did it somehow return in some form to any of Donald Trump’s personal or campaign accounts? And they were blocked from doing that.

AMY GOODMAN: So, Carol Leonnig, talk about the meeting that at-the-time presidential candidate Donald Trump had with Sisi on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly that took place in the fall, months before President Trump took office.

CAROL LEONNIG: Yes. This meeting was very interesting to investigators later. And here are the two reasons why. Donald Trump was trying to burnish his foreign policy credentials and bona fides. He didn’t have a lot of experience in government, as he has already acknowledged himself, and so he wanted to show that he could make deals with foreign governments and foreign leaders, he could establish important relationships.

He meets with el-Sisi on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly, which is held each year, and it’s September 20th, 2016. At that time, Donald Trump’s campaign was cash-starved. He was running out of money, and his advisers were trying to convince him to cut a check from his own accounts to help fund the last little bit of media buys that the campaign needed to purchase in order to stay, you know, vibrant and alive in the race. And he did not want to put any more of his own money in the campaign, because he thought he was going to lose. But after he meets el-Sisi — and he does this privately, Amy; some of it’s public, but some of the meeting is just him, el-Sisi and an interpreter from Egypt. And investigators found that very curious, because then, on October 28th, a month later, Donald Trump does agree to write a check to his own campaign, after much, much pleading from his advisers. Investigators saw this as an important moment: why, if Donald Trump had been absolutely insisting he wouldn’t donate to his campaign anymore, he finally did.

AMY GOODMAN: So, Carol Leonnig, you write in the piece — this would be an answer to the question: Well, why would Sisi want to have sway over President Trump? You write, “Over the course of his presidency, Trump shifted U.S. policy in ways that benefited the Egyptian leader, a man he was called 'my favorite dictator.' In 2018, Trump’s State Department released $195 million in military aid … the [U.S.] had been withholding over human rights abuses — a move that had been opposed by his first secretary of state — followed by the release of $1.2 billion more in such assistance.” Carol Leonnig?

CAROL LEONNIG: You know, Donald Trump really flipped the switch on U.S. policy towards Egypt. You may and your listeners may know that el-Sisi was viewed by the United States as both an ally, but a worrisome ally. Egypt is very important to the United States’ position in the Middle East, but el-Sisi had risen to power through a violent coup, a military coup. And in the wake of his rise to power, it became known that he was suspected to have played a key role in the military killing of supporters of his opponent, who had been democratically elected. He was also viewed as very comfortable with a host of human rights abuses against opponents and critics in his country and trying to violently shut down that opposition, using military and spy power to do that. So the United States viewed him with a little bit of remove and had put a hold on this very valuable military aid and had asked him and pressed him numerous times to do better on human rights at home.

But when Donald Trump got into office, he didn’t have any of those restrictions. He insisted that one of his first officials that he was going to meet as president was el-Sisi, something his own advisers encouraged him not to do, because that was showing too much support to the Egyptian president. Rex Tillerson, his then-secretary of state, counseled Trump not to release this military aid, that it would be too generous, and el-Sisi had done nothing to improve his record on democracy and free and fair elections and human rights record. Nothing. And so, Trump fired Tillerson and ordered the release of this aid.

AMY GOODMAN: Finally, Carol, “In the years since the Egypt case was closed,” you write, “the Sisi regime’s ambitions to influence senior U.S. government officials have been laid bare by the bribery conviction of [New Jersey Democratic] Sen. Bob Menendez, the former [chair] of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.” Can you draw that line, a man who was about to be sentenced in October, just before the election?

CAROL LEONNIG: Well, the key thing to know here is there was a very full and expansive investigation, with no holds barred, to figure out: Was Senator Menendez a foreign agent of the Egyptian government? There were records searched, encrypted signals, communications gathered, and what they found was he was. He was receiving money from an Egyptian national who was doing the bidding of Egyptian spy and military leaders, and ultimately from the Sisi regime. He was giving information to the Egyptian officials at high levels, including information that was deemed secret by our U.S. government, about our U.S. personnel in the Egyptian Embassy.

And what is also, to me, really striking, Amy, is el-Sisi has relied on his Egyptian version of the CIA, called the General Intelligence Service, to push his agenda abroad in the United States and to tamp down criticism at home. And here, the General Intelligence Service was a critical feature of reaching out to and intervening and directing Senator Menendez. And it was the General Intelligence Service accounts from which the $10 million in the Donald Trump investigation had been withdrawn five days before Donald Trump was elected. The same agency, the same government account was, according to the intelligence, at work trying to find a way to get money to Donald Trump. But that investigation was not allowed to proceed.

AMY GOODMAN: Carol Leonnig, we just have 20 seconds. Could this bribery investigation into Donald Trump be reopened?

CAROL LEONNIG: The information could be gathered. There could be an investigation that looked more deeply and looked at the actual records the original investigators wanted to. But the chances for prosecuting anyone who played a role in this and committed a crime are extremely low. The statute of limitations is over, and it’s unlikely that that could change.

AMY GOODMAN: Carol Leonnig, national investigative reporter for The Washington Post. We’ll link to your exclusive report, written with Aaron Davis, “$10M cash withdrawal drove secret probe into whether Trump took money from Egypt.”


Aaron C. Davis was the co-author of THE WASHINGTON POST report and he discussed the revelations Saturday on MSNBC.



In other news, today the Democratic Party's presidential nominee Kamala Harris is supposed to announce her running mate.  






What idiot sees Shapiro as a candidate who will help the ticket?


We haven't even gotten to the worst of it.


There's now the issue of a column he wrote in college.  Mike Allen (AXIOS) mis-reports on that column:


A 31-year-old clip surfaced from Shapiro's college newspaper, in which he wrote that Palestinians were "too battle-minded" and "peace between Arabs and Israelis is virtually impossible and will never come."

  • The opinion piece, "Peace not possible," ran in the Campus Times at the University of Rochester on Sept. 23, 1993.
  • Shapiro told reporters Friday that the column doesn't represent his views today: "I was 20."


Before he wrote the column, he had already decided on a career in politics and already been elected student body  president at the University of Rochester so let's not pretend that he was some young, naive student.  He was a craven opportunist even back then (yes, Senator John Fetterman is correct about that).  Equally true, that 1993 opinion resurfaced in late 2023 as he once again began attacking Palestinians and those who publicly defended them as the government of Israel began the 300-plus-days assault on Gaza.


But more to the point, Shapiro is who JD Vance wants to debate, wants to run against. 


And a lot of people writing columns in support of Josh and a lot reporting on him grasp that which is why they write garbage like Mike Allen did -- garbage that ignores the explosive part of the column which, believe it or not, is not Josh Shapiro's hatred for Palestinians and his xenophobia.


No, the explosive part is when Shapiro wrote, "Despite my skepticism as a Jew and as a past volunteer in the Israeli army, I strongly hope and pray that this 'peace plan' will be successful."

 

Despite my skepticism as a Jew and as a past volunteer in the Israeli army?

 

Shapiro's team has rushed to insist that the 20-year-old mistyped and he was never in the Israeli army -- not even, they insist, as a volunteer.

 

He said what he said.


Unless you read AXIOS which has refused to cover that reality.  Not just the laughable 'journalist' Mike Allen -- the 60-year-old weirdo who has found in AXIOS another outlet to fail at.  

"Despite my skepticism as a Jew and as a past volunteer in the Israeli army"?  Shapiro wrote it.  But in AXIOS' coverage, they don't mention that reality even when allegedly reporting on the column.  April Rubin continues the refusal to report honestly in her AXIOS report on Shapiro.

Back to Ava and my piece:

And if you're not getting how that's a deal breaker, think back to JD Vance getting all pissy when called on his rude remarks about people without children.  He served! He raged that he served his country in the military!!!!

 

Now, as Elaine's pointed out, he's not really a combat veteran despite serving in war zones because he wasn't really serving as a combat soldier:

 

Let me get this right, Skidmarks Vance who tries to play combat veteran to the public, was actually in Iraq for six months as "a military journalist."  From WIKIPEDIA:


After graduating from Middletown High School in 2003,[19] Vance enlisted in the U.S. Marine Corps and served in Iraq as a combat correspondent for six months in late 2005.[20] He was part of the Public Affairs section of the 2nd Marine Aircraft Wing[21][22] and said that his service "taught me how to live like an adult" and that he was "lucky to escape any real fighting".[23] His decorations included the Marine Corps Good Conduct Medal and Navy and Marine Corps Achievement Medal.[20]



He's not a combat veteran.  He's a joke.  He 'served' in Iraq . . . as a journalist.  What?  The USO was full? 

 

It's not necessary that Kamala pick a running mate who served in the military.  (Walz was in the National Guard and Kelly was in the Navy.)  It is necessary that she pick someone who won't provide easy ammo for the Trump campaign.


JD Vance will make the argument that while he was serving in the US military, Josh Shapiro was serving in the Israeli military.  And the weak comeback of: no, no, he didn't, he mispoke won't mean a damn thing.  Because Josh did go to Israel to serve.  Military or not, he went to Israel to serve.  (And let's note that we don't know what he did in Israel -- no one does.  With his own hands, he wrote that he served in the Israeli military.  From the mouths of his team, we hear that's not the case.)


He went to Israel.  This wasn't Peace Corps work, grasp that.  This wasn't helping a poverty stricken nation, grasp that.


He was an American citizen and he elected to volunteer to help a government -- a foreign government.


If you missed it, the US government is now wanting US flags to be made in the US.  It's a new fever of patriotism and the man who could serve the government of Israel but not his own country looks suspect. 


Is he wanting to be vice president to serve the United States or to serve Israel?


When he felt the need to volunteer, it wasn't for America.  When he felt the need to get married, America wasn't good enough for him then either.  He and his American bride got married in Israel.


Donald Trump is currently still questioning whether or not Kamala is Black.  Previously, he questioned whether or not Barack Obama was born in this country.


It's not a stretch of the imagination to picture Donald at one of his rallies yelling something like, "For all I know, he's a citizen of Israel -- an Israeli-American."

 

Josh's own actions and remarks have made himself the other.  He's far too tied to another nation to be seen by most Americans as someone who will put the United States first.

 

And we don't have time to waste, over the next two and a half months, putting aside the party's message, setting aside the issues, to turn into a 24-7 rapid response team for a lousy vice presidential pick.  Anyone with a brain should be able to grasp that Shapiro is.


Shapiro is a lousy choice.  Sam Seder addressed that on yesterday's MAJORITY REPORT.



Turning to the ongoing slaughter in Gaza, Sharon Zhang (TRUTHOUT) writes:


A top Israeli official suggested on Monday that he believes it is “morally justified” for Israel to wipe out Gaza’s population through famine and starvation, in chilling statements that pro-Palestine advocates say openly indicate genocidal intent.

Speaking at a conference hosted by the far right Israel Hayom newspaper, Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich complained about having to allow humanitarian aid into Gaza, saying that international norms are stopping Israel from taking what he claims is the “moral” path of starving 2 million Palestinians to death.

“We are bringing in aid because there is no choice,” Smotrich said, Israeli outlets reported. “We can’t, in the current global reality, manage a war. Nobody will let us cause 2 million civilians to die of hunger even though it might be justified and moral until our hostages are returned.”

“Humanitarian in exchange for humanitarian is morally justified, but what can we do? We live today in a certain reality, we need international legitimacy for this war,” he went on.

His mention of 2 million civilians appears to be in reference to Gaza’s pre-genocide population of of roughly 2.2 million people, including 600,000 children.

Smotrich’s statement represents yet another brazen and horrifying call for the annihilation of Palestinians in Gaza, with Israeli officials repeatedly issuing public calls for mass death and ethnic cleansing over the course of their genocide.

The comment is indicative of Israel’s intent to commit genocide. Although Israeli officials have insisted in public statements that they are simply hunting down Hamas soldiers, many reports have indicated that the Israeli military considers any Palestinian — adult or child — to be a potential Hamas soldier. This is also evident from the vast civilian death toll of Israel’s indiscriminate extermination campaign so far.


The Israeli government continues to face international condemnation for its murder of jounalists.  ALJAZEERA notes:

The UN special rapporteur on freedom of opinion and expression has condemned Israel’s killing last week of Al Jazeera journalist Ismail al-Ghoul and cameraman Rami al-Rifi in Gaza, urging that their deaths be prosecuted as a war crime.

“I strongly denounce the deliberate targeting by Israel of two journalists in Gaza, which adds to an already appalling toll of reporters and media workers killed in this war,” Irene Khan said in a statement.

The two men were killed in a July 31 air strike by the Israeli military, which said al-Ghoul was a Hamas operative who took part in the October 7 attack against Israel.

Al Jazeera has rejected what it said are “baseless allegations”, saying that journalism was his only profession.

“Given Israel’s failure to heed earlier calls for accountability, I urge the International Criminal Court to move swiftly to prosecute the killings of journalists in Gaza as a war crime and call on the international community to urgently consider the use of international mechanisms to investigate crimes against journalists in Gaza,” Khan added.


The number of journalists killed in Gaza by the Israeli government stands at over 160.



Gaza remains under assault. Day 305 of  the assault in the wave that began in October.  Binoy Kampmark (DISSIDENT VOICE) points out, "Bloodletting as form; murder as fashion.  The ongoing campaign in Gaza by Israel’s Defence Forces continues without stalling and restriction.  But the burgeoning number of corpses is starting to become a challenge for the propaganda outlets:  How to justify it?  Fortunately for Israel, the United States, its unqualified defender, is happy to provide cover for murder covered in the sheath of self-defence."   CNN has explained, "The Gaza Strip is 'the most dangerous place' in the world to be a child, according to the executive director of the United Nations Children's Fund."  ABC NEWS quotes UNICEF's December 9th statement, ""The Gaza Strip is the most dangerous place in the world to be a child. Scores of children are reportedly being killed and injured on a daily basis. Entire neighborhoods, where children used to play and go to school have been turned into stacks of rubble, with no life in them."  NBC NEWS notes, "Strong majorities of all voters in the U.S. disapprove of President Joe Biden’s handling of foreign policy and the Israel-Hamas war, according to the latest national NBC News poll. The erosion is most pronounced among Democrats, a majority of whom believe Israel has gone too far in its military action in Gaza."  The slaughter continues.  It has displaced over 1 million people per the US Congressional Research Service.  Jessica Corbett (COMMON DREAMS) points out, "Academics and legal experts around the world, including Holocaust scholars, have condemned the six-week Israeli assault of Gaza as genocide."   The death toll of Palestinians in Gaza is grows higher and higher.  United Nations Women noted, "More than 1.9 million people -- 85 per cent of the total population of Gaza -- have been displaced, including what UN Women estimates to be nearly 1 million women and girls. The entire population of Gaza -- roughly 2.2 million people -- are in crisis levels of acute food insecurity or worse."   THE NATIONAL notes, "Gaza's Health Ministry on Tuesday said that at least 39,653 Palestinians were killed and 91,535 injured in the Israel-Gaza conflict since October 7.  The latest toll includes 30 people killed and 66 injured in the past 24 hours, the ministry added." Months ago,  AP  noted, "About 4,000 people are reported missing."  February 7th, Jeremy Scahill explained on DEMOCRACY NOW! that "there’s an estimated 7,000 or 8,000 Palestinians missing, many of them in graves that are the rubble of their former home."  February 5th, the United Nations' Phillipe Lazzarini Tweeted:

  



April 11th, Sharon Zhang (TRUTHOUT) reported, "In addition to the over 34,000 Palestinians who have been counted as killed in Israel’s genocidal assault so far, there are 13,000 Palestinians in Gaza who are missing, a humanitarian aid group has estimated, either buried in rubble or mass graves or disappeared into Israeli prisons.  In a report released Thursday, Euro-Med Human Rights Monitor said that the estimate is based on initial reports and that the actual number of people missing is likely even higher."
 


The following sites updated:



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